Reform Crashes To Its Lowest Poll Rating In 20 Months As Scandals Catch Up With Them - Reform Watch

YouGov now places Reform two points behind Labour and level with the Conservatives, after a two-point fall since its previous poll. The party has shed eight points from the 29% highs recorded last year, erasing the lead which once allowed Nigel Farage to talk confidently about entering Downing Street. A national vote share of 21% leaves Reform outside any plausible route to government. Labour’s 33.7% in 2024 was the lowest share ever secured by a party winning a Commons majority, almost thirteen points above Reform’s current position. First past the post can magnify a narrow national lead into a commanding majority, though no party has ever won a UK general election from Reform’s present level. The wider figures make Reform’s decline more damning. Immigration is considered one of the country’s most important issues by 51% of voters, narrowly ahead of the economy on 48%. Reform has been handed the political terrain around which Farage built his entire campaign, poured its resources into anti-migrant messaging and launched an app devoted to small-boat crossings. The party is still sinking. Its decline has accelerated as scrutiny of Reform’s conduct has intensified. Two senior figures were forced to stand down amid allegations concerning secretly foreign-funded polling, sixteen councillors have left its flagship administration in Durham, and its Welsh leader resigned after being arrested on suspicion of assault and controlling or coercive behaviour. Farage’s personal ratings have also collapsed, with 69% of the public now viewing him unfavourably. Support has ebbed as voters have seen more of Reform in office and more of the chaos surrounding its senior figures. At 21%, Farage’s road to Downing Street is blocked, and the scandals consuming his party are rapidly becoming its defining feature.